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California continues to set daily records for utility scale solar energy

June 25, 2014 in EIA, Environment, EV News, Solar, Wind

By US Energy Information Administration

Source: CAISO Daily Renewables Watch Note: Data do not include distributed generation solar electricity where output is behind-the-meter. Courtesy of EIA

Source: CAISO Daily Renewables Watch
Note: Data do not include distributed generation solar electricity where output is behind-the-meter.
Courtesy of EIA

On June 1, 2014, the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) recorded a record midday hourly peak of 4,767 megawatts of alternating current (MWAC) of utility-generated solar electricity delivered into the California grid. With rapidly growing utility-scale solar capacity, CAISO has regularly recorded new hourly output records going back to 2010 when it first began publishing the daily data. When the hourly data are averaged over the course of a month to control for weather variation, the average peak hourly generation in May 2014 of 4,086 MWAC was 150% greater than the level in May 2013.

In 2013, 2,145 MW of utility-scale solar capacity entered service in California, of which more than 500 MW came from large-scale solar thermal plants. California accounted for more than 75% of U.S. utility-scale solar capacity installed in 2013.

Total solar electricity output in May 2014 constituted 6% of the total CAISO electricity load that month, compared with 2% in May 2013. However, during the average peak solar output hour, between 11:00 a.m. and noon for May 2014, solar supplied 14% of total power, compared with 6% in May 2013.

Solar generation facilities generally provide power to the CAISO grid from early morning until the evening, and reach peak output around midday. When solar electricity is being generated, less electricity from other sources such as natural gas or interstate electricity imports is required. Conversely, when there is little-to-no solar generation, the shares of other fuels used in California’s supply mix rise.

Source: CAISO Daily Renewables Watch Note: This chart shows a set of 24 hours for each month, calculated from CAISO's average hourly output data by taking the average output for each hour in a given month. The peaks therefore do not exactly correspond to actual peak outputs, but should approximate the average peak hourly output in a given month. Courtesy of EIA

Source: CAISO Daily Renewables Watch
Note: This chart shows a set of 24 hours for each month, calculated from CAISO’s average hourly output data by taking the average output for each hour in a given month. The peaks therefore do not exactly correspond to actual peak outputs, but should approximate the average peak hourly output in a given month.
Courtesy of EIA

Source: CAISO Daily Renewables Watch Note: This chart shows a set of 24 hours for each month, calculated from CAISO's average hourly output data by taking the average output for each hour in a given month. The peaks therefore do not exactly correspond to actual peak outputs, but should approximate the average peak hourly output in a given month. Note: The fuels above generally reflect CAISO's categorization of renewable fuels that meet the eligibility requirements of California's Renewable Portfolio Standard. Small hydroelectric includes facilities with generation of 30 megawatts or less. (EIA defines all conventional hydroelectric generation as renewable.)  Courtesy of EIA

Source: CAISO Daily Renewables Watch
Note: This chart shows a set of 24 hours for each month, calculated from CAISO’s average hourly output data by taking the average output for each hour in a given month. The peaks therefore do not exactly correspond to actual peak outputs, but should approximate the average peak hourly output in a given month.
Note: The fuels above generally reflect CAISO’s categorization of renewable fuels that meet the eligibility requirements of California’s Renewable Portfolio Standard. Small hydroelectric includes facilities with generation of 30 megawatts or less. (EIA defines all conventional hydroelectric generation as renewable.)
Courtesy of EIA

Source: CAISO Daily Renewables Watch Note: This chart shows a set of 24 hours for each month, calculated from CAISO's average hourly output data by taking the average output for each hour in a given month. The peaks therefore do not exactly correspond to actual peak outputs, but should approximate the average peak hourly output in a given month. Courtesy of EIA

Source: CAISO Daily Renewables Watch
Note: This chart shows a set of 24 hours for each month, calculated from CAISO’s average hourly output data by taking the average output for each hour in a given month. The peaks therefore do not exactly correspond to actual peak outputs, but should approximate the average peak hourly output in a given month.
Courtesy of EIA

While solar generation follows a relatively consistent pattern throughout the day (see tab 1), CAISO also faces challenges in integrating other renewables (see tab 2). Wind output during the summer months frequently coincides with the afternoon and evening peak demand hours, but it is also an intermittent resource and therefore has a limited ability to provide firm capacity. Hydroelectric power, which provides 12% of California’s net generation, is typically a flexible, dispatchable resource—but is also subject to seasonal variability, drought effects, and restrictions on dispatch created by the needs of other water users.

Solar and renewables still constitute a relatively small share of generation for California in the context of all fuel sources (tab 3). Natural gas accounted for 59% of net generation in 2013, and 3,940 MW of new natural gas capacity came online in 2013, which will help address some of the reserve capacity needs for balancing renewables, as well as replace some of the baseload power that was lost when two of the state’s four nuclear units were retired in 2012.

California’s utilities are less than two-thirds of the way toward meeting their 2020 RPS goals. With declining solar manufacturing costs, and the federal investment tax credit in place through the end of 2016, utility-scale solar installations are expected to continue through 2014. Projects currently reporting to EIA have indicated plans for an additional 1,728 MWAC of new utility-scale solar to be installed between May and December 2014.

In addition to leading the nation in utility-scale solar capacity, California also has a significant level of behind-the-meter residential and commercial solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity. According to the Solar Energy Industries Association, approximately 700 MWDC of residential and commercial/industrial solar PV capacity was also installed in California in 2013, further reducing midday baseload power demand.

AC/DC Measurement of Solar

EIA collects electric capacity data in alternating-current megawatts (MWAC), the type of electricity used in homes and on the grid. Solar photovoltaic generators produce electricity in direct-current megawatts (MWDC), which is how organizations like the Solar Energy Industries Association report capacity. Generally, PV systems are associated with an AC-to-DC ratio between 80% and 90%.

Principal contributors: Gwendolyn Bredehoeft, Robert McManmon, Tyson Brown

This article is a repost, credit: EIA.

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California ISO finds power supplies adequate for summer 2014

May 12, 2014 in Environment, EV News, Solar, Wind

Extreme weather heat waves, wildfires still concern for Southern California

Map courtesy of State of California

Map courtesy of State of California

FOLSOM, Calif. The California Independent System Operator Corporation (ISO) released today (5-9-14) its 2014 summer assessment that shows the ISO system has adequate power supplies for meeting summer peak conditions across the state despite well below average hydroelectric supply. Southern Orange and San Diego counties will be a focus of summer grid operations in the event that heat waves, unexpected power plant outages or wildfires threaten transmission lines and challenge reliability in the area affected by the closure of the San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station.

Under challenging conditions, ISO operators will count on customers participating in local demand response and conservation programs to reduce their power use when the ISO issues a Flex Alert through the media.

“We know it is an inconvenience, but if the ISO issues a Flex Alert asking for conservation it is because the grid is under a lot of stress and we need to immediately reduce power demand,” said ISO President and CEO Steve Berberich. “Voluntary conservation is better than people losing power when demand outstrips supply.”

While drought conditions will have little impact on supply availability in San Diego and Orange counties, the overall ISO system will have less hydro-electricity than last year. As of April 29, 2014, statewide precipitation was at 56 percent of average. Meanwhile, snowpack water content was at 20% of average for the date and reservoir storage was at 63 percent of average for the date. The ISO expects to have 1,370 megawatts (MW) to 1,669 MW less of in-state hydro for summer 2014. Pacific Northwest hydro conditions are about normal and should help make up some for the low California hydro conditions.

Operating reserve margins for the ISO system are good for normal conditions at 24 percent, but it could fall to about 14 percent during extreme conditions, which still remain above the threshold that puts customers at risk of power outages, which is triggered when reserves drop to the 3 percent level.

The system-wide peak electric demand is expected to reach 47,351 MW during summer 2014, which is 646 MW more than 2013 weather normalized peak of 46,705 MW. The all-time record instantaneous peak demand was 50,270 MW in 2006.

Meanwhile, the ISO projects that 53,950 MW of power capacity will be available this summer, which is an increase of about 3,243 MW of new generation since last summer. About 68 percent of the new generation is from renewable resources. Renewables make up about 22 percent of the ISO resource mix, which is an increase of about 4 percent from summer 2013. The ISO set a new instantaneous production record for solar power of 4,475 MW on April 30, 2014. The instantaneous wind record occurred on April 12, 2014 with 4,769 MW generated. As of May 1, the ISO has about 15,126 MW of renewable resource capacity connected to the grid.

This article is a repost (5-9-14), credit: CalISO.

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California ISO breaks new solar production record

April 2, 2014 in Environment, EV News, Solar, Wind

Connected solar and wind renewables surpass 11,000 megawatts to help light up the Golden State

CalISO Folsom Control Room Image courtesy of CalISO

CalISO Folsom Control Room
Image courtesy of CalISO

FOLSOM, Calif. – Solar power production hit a new record of 4,093 megawatts on Saturday, March 8, 2014. The previous record was 3,926 megawatts (MW) set the previous day on March 7. Electricity generated from solar has more than doubled from June 7, 2013 when the California Independent System Operator Corporation (ISO) recorded 2,071 MW of peak production — and output has more than quadrupled from the summer of 2012. The new record generation can instantaneously power about 3 million homes.

Meanwhile, when combining ISO wind resources of 5,890 MW* and solar resources of 5,231 MW, the two resources now account for 11,121 MW interconnected to the ISO grid. In total, all renewables (including geothermal) make up about 15,000 MW of the ISO generation mix. The current wind production record stands at 4,302 MW set June 23, 2013.

“This shows that California is making remarkable progress in not only getting new resources approved and connected to the grid, but making meaningful contributions in keeping the lights on as well,” says Steve Berberich, ISO President and Chief Executive Officer. “The milestones illustrate that we are well into a new era when clean, renewable energy is shouldering its share of our electricity needs — and that is exciting.”

California remains the largest producer of solar power in the nation.1 Meanwhile, only Texas surpasses California in wind resources installed, and California was among the top five states nationally for adding wind capacity.2

1. Solar Energy Industries Association  2. Ernst & Young LLP

About CalISO

The California ISO provides open and non-discriminatory access to one of the largest power grids in the world. The vast network of  high-voltage transmission power lines is supported by a competitive energy market and comprehensive grid planning. Partnering with about a hundred clients, the nonprofit public benefit corporation is dedicated to the continual development and reliable operation of a modern grid that operates for the benefit of consumers. Recognizing the importance of the global climate challenge, the ISO is at the forefront of integrating renewable power and advanced technologies that will help meet a sustainable energy future efficiently and cleanly.

This article is a repost (3-10-14), credit: CalISO.

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New generators help California meet summer challenges to electric reliability, Source: EIA

June 7, 2013 in Environment, EV News

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, based on the California Independent System Operator's 2013 Summer Loads and Resources Assessment.  Note: Capacity values are derated, or adjusted, for resource constraints typical of summer weather patterns. This includes derates for intermittent resources like hydroelectric, wind, and solar capacity.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, based on the California Independent System Operator’s 2013 Summer Loads and Resources Assessment.
Note: Capacity values are derated, or adjusted, for resource constraints typical of summer weather patterns. This includes derates for intermittent resources like hydroelectric, wind, and solar capacity.

Southern Califorina’s electric power system is facing a number of challenges heading into the summer peak demand season, largely because of the prolonged outage of the two units at the San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station (SONGS), which have been offline since January 2012. A combination of recent capacity additions and electric system upgrades made since June 2012 will help meet peak electric demand this summer.

The California Independent System Operator (CAISO), the grid operator for most of the state, noted in its Summer Loads and Resources Assessment that 2,502 megawatts (MW) of capacity (capacity adjusted for planning purposes) have been added since June 2012, with an additional 891 MW slated to come online by June 1, 2013. The two off-line SONGS units, in comparison, total 2,246 MW.

This new capacity will help make up for the loss of the generation from SONGS, but the reliability issue is more complicated than simply providing replacement generation. Geographically, SONGS is in a localized pocket of electric power demand near San Diego and Los Angeles. Given the characteristics of the electric transmission system, the loss of SONGS limits the amount of power that can be brought into the area over the transmission grid—rather than generated locally—under some conditions. Much of the new capacity lies outside of the San Diego-Los Angeles area, meaning that additional transmission upgrades are needed to supply that area.

The local grid will be bolstered at strategic locations in the Los Angeles basin and northern San Diego County. Southern California Edison also plans to reconfigure the existing 220-kilovolt Barre-Ellis transmission line from two circuits to four by June 15, increasing the amount of electricity that transmission path can move. However, the region also needs local sources of reactive power (a portion of generated electricity which is lost in large quantities when transmitting power over long distances, i.e. importing power from some of the new generating capacity to Southern California). Capacitors will be added to several substations (see map above) by June 1, and two natural gas-fired generators at the Huntington Beach facility will be converted to synchronous condensers by June 28. Capacitors and synchronous condensers are commonly used to provide voltage support in the form of reactive power to the transmission grid. All of these system upgrades are designed to allow the system to bring more power into the region.

The two units at SONGS have been offline since January 31, 2012 as a result of mechanical problems currently being evaluated by Southern California Edison and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Replacing the power from a low-cost source of generation like SONGS already has changed wholesale electricity prices in the state. Rising natural gas prices are likely to increase that effect in 2013. In its annual report, CAISO noted that 2012 wholesale power prices were higher than prices in the previous three years even when adjusted for the lower 2012 natural gas prices. In addition, the unusually large spread in wholesale electricity prices between the northern and southern portions of the state indicates system congestion.

Why do grid planners adjust capacity?

Generation capacity is counted differently for planning purposes (like CAISO’s summer reliability assessment) than for operational purposes. Planners use an adjusted capacity number to represent how much of a particular generator’s capacity may be available to meet peak demand for electricity, based on historic or projected availability. This number will differ from the generator’s tested capacity, especially if the fuel–like wind, solar, or hydro–is intermittent or the generator is not fully dispatchable by the power system operator.

This article is a repost, credit: US Energy Information Administration, Today In Energy, http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=11591.